Oscar Awards Preview: Who Are the Whales in the Prediction Markets Betting On?

By: blockbeats|2026/03/12 13:00:00

Original Title: "Oscar Awards Preview: Who Are the Big Players in the Prediction Market Betting On?"

Original Author: Asher, Odaily Planet Daily

The 98th Academy Awards ceremony for the year 2026 will be held on March 15. As the awards night approaches, discussions about "who will win" are heating up.

Beyond the predictions of traditional media, film critics, and fans, the crypto prediction market is also providing a set of answers. So, in the eyes of prediction market participants, who are the top contenders for this year's Oscars in each major category?

Next, Odaily Planet Daily will, based on the latest market data from Polymarket, systematically review the winning odds for each award. At the same time, we will analyze the betting positions of the top addresses holding relevant event positions to identify potential trading opportunities.

Best Picture Award: "One Battle After Another" Leads Temporarily with a 76% Real-Time Odds

Polymarket Event: Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner, with a trading volume of over $29 million;

Link: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-picture-winner.

Currently, in the Best Picture category, "One Battle After Another" is temporarily in the lead with a 75% real-time probability, while Sinners ranks second with a probability of 20%.

Oscar Awards Preview: Who Are the Whales in the Prediction Markets Betting On?

· Address Holding Analysis

Address Holding YES for "One Battle After Another" First: 0x2a019dc0089ea8c6edbbafc8a7cc9ba77b4b6397, this address has a high win rate of 89.7%, with an average price of 54.8 cents for holding YES for "One Battle After Another".

Address Holding Only for "One Battle After Another" Single Event: 0x8f49c70ce8e353c0531d39f5448f0ba5f561bf8d, this address bought nearly 10,000 YES positions for "One Battle After Another" at an average price of 74 cents five days ago and currently only holds positions for the single event of "One Battle After Another" winning Best Picture.

Best Actor Film Award: Michael B. Jordan Currently Leads with 57% Real-Time Odds

Polymarket Event: Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner, with a trading volume of nearly $7 million;

Link: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-actor-winner.

Currently, in the Best Actor Film Award category, Michael B. Jordan leads with a 57% real-time probability, followed by Timothée Chalamet in second place with a probability of 34%.

It is worth mentioning that until the 7th of this month, Timothée Chalamet had consistently held the top spot in terms of winning probability, peaking at an 80% chance.

-- Price

· Holdings Address Analysis

Michael B. Jordan's YES Top Address: 0x4cc25002e1b5d09c1dab0d26dbe2333648829271, with a win rate of only 48% and a historical P&L of -$200,000.

Michael B. Jordan's NO Top Address: 0xafbacaeeda63f31202759eff7f8126e49adfe61b, with a win rate of 53% and a historical P&L of $172,000.

Timothée Chalamet's YES Top Address: 0x4cc25002e1b5d09c1dab0d26dbe2333648829271, which is also Michael B. Jordan's YES Top Address. This address shows a bet placed on either Michael B. Jordan or Timothée Chalamet winning the Best Actor Award.

Timothée Chalamet's NO Top Address: 0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344, with a high win rate of 63% and a historical P&L of $2.82 million.

Best Director Award: Paul Thomas Anderson Currently Leading with 91% Real-Time Odds

Polymarket Event: Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner, with a trading volume of nearly $5 million;

Link: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-director-winner.

Currently, in the Best Director Award category, Paul Thomas Anderson is leading with a 94% real-time probability, making this award almost a foregone conclusion, or a "yield farm."

· Holder Address Analysis

Paul Thomas Anderson Holder YES First Address: 0x998154d8eb4ba7c4b34b10d76b9742d922d7dec4, with a win rate of up to 83.6%. The average price for Paul Thomas Anderson Holder YES is 93 cents.

Best Actress Film Award: Jessie Buckley Currently Leading with 97% Real-Time Odds

Polymarket Event: Oscars 2026: Best Actress Winner, with a trading volume of over $1.5 million;

Link: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-actress-winner.

Currently, in the Best Actress Film Award category, Jessie Buckley is leading with 97% real-time probability, making this award almost a foregone conclusion, or a "yield farm."

Other Popular Awards

Furthermore, other awards with high discussion volume are:

1. Best Supporting Actress Award (Link: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-supporting-actress-winner), Amy Madigan is currently leading with 52% real-time odds; Teyana Taylor is in second place with a 26% probability; Wunmi Mosaku is in third place with a 21% probability.

II. Best Supporting Actor Award (Link: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-supporting-actor-winner), Sean Penn is currently in first place with a real-time odds of 73%; Stellan Skarsgård is in second place with a probability of 19%; Delroy Lindo is in third place with a probability of 7%.

III. Best Cinematography Award (Link: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-cinematography-winner), One Battle After Another is currently in first place with a real-time odds of 73%; Sinners is in second place with a probability of 20%.

IV. Best Original Screenplay Award (Link: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-original-screenplay-winner), Sinners is currently in first place with a real-time odds of 96%, also known as "The Financial Bureau".

Original Article Link

Where the thunder of legions falls into a hallowed hush, the true kings of arena are crowned in gold and etched into eternity. Season 1 of WEEX AI Wars has ended, leaving a battlefield of glory. Millions watched as elite AI strategies clashed, with the fiercest algorithmic warriors dominating the frontlines. The echoes of victory still reverberate. Now, the call to arms sounds once more!

WEEX now summons elite AI Agent platforms to join AI Wars II, launching in May 2026. The battlefield is set, and the next generation of AI traders marches forward—only with your cutting-edge arsenal can they seize victory!

Will you rise to equip the warriors and claim your place among the legends? Can your AI Agent technology dominate the battlefield? It's time to prove it:

Arm the frontlines: Showcase your technology to a global audience;Raise your banner: Gain co-branded global exposure via online competition and offline workshops;Recruit and rally troops: Attract new users, build your community and achieve long-term growth;Deploy in real battle: Integrate with WEEX’s trading system for real market use and get real feedback for rapid product iteration;Strategic rewards: Become an agent on WEEX and enjoy industry leading commission rebates and copy trading profit share.

Join WEEX AI Wars II now to sound the charge!

Season 1 Triumph: Proven Global Dominance

WEEX AI Wars Season 1 was nothing short of a decisive conquest. Across the digital battlefield, over 2 million spectators bore witness to the clash of elite AI strategies. Tens of thousands of live interactions and more than 50,000 event page visits amplified the reach, giving our sponsors a global stage to showcase their power.

Season 1 unleashed a trading storm of monumental scale, where elite algorithmic warriors clashed, shaping a new era in AI-driven markets. $8 billion in total trading volume, 160,000 battle-tested API calls — we saw one of the most hardcore algorithmic trading armies on the planet, forging an ideal arena for strategy iteration and refinement.

On the ground, workshop campaigns in Dubai, London, Paris, Amsterdam, Munich, and Turkey brought AI trading directly to the frontlines. Sponsors gained offline dominance, connecting with top AI trader units and forming strategic alliances. Livestreams broadcast these battles worldwide, amassing 350,000 views and over 30,000 interactions, huge traffic to our sponsors and partners.

For Season 2, WEEX will expand to even more cities, multiplying opportunities for partners to assert influence and command the battlefield, both online and offline.

Season 2 Arsenal: Equip the Frontlines and Command Victory

By enlisting in WEEX AI Wars II as an AI Agent arsenal, your platform can command unprecedented visibility, and extend your influence across the world. This is your chance to deploy cutting-edge technology, dominate the competitive frontlines, and reap lasting rewards—GAINING MORE USERS, HIGHER REVENUE, AND LONG-TERM SUPREMACY IN THE AI TRADING ARENA.

Reach WEEX’s 8 million userbase and global crypto community. Unleash your potential on a global stage! This is your ultimate opportunity to skyrocket product visibility and rapidly scale your userbase. Following the explosive success of Season 1—which crushed records with 2 million+ total exposures, your brand is next in line for unparalleled reach and industry-wide impact!Test and showcase your AI Agent in real markets. Throw your AI Agents into the ultimate arena! Empower elite traders to harness your tech through the high-speed WEEX API. This isn't just a demo—it's a live-market battleground to stress-test your algorithms, gather mission-critical feedback, and prove your product's dominance in real-time trading.Gain extensive co-branded exposure and traffic support. Command the spotlight! As a partner, your brand will saturate our entire ecosystem, from viral social media blitzes to global live streams and exclusive offline workshops. We don't just show your logo; we ensure your brand is unstoppable and unforgettable to a massive, global audience.Enjoy industry leading rebates. Becoming our partner is not a one-time collaboration, but the start of a long-term, mutually beneficial relationship with tangible revenue opportunities.Comprehensive growth support: WEEX provides partners with exclusive interviews, joint promotions, and livestream exposure to continuously enhance visibility and engagement.

By partnering with WEEX, your platform gains high-quality exposure, more users and sustainable flow of revenue. The Hackathon is more than a competition. It is a platform for innovation, collaboration, and tangible business growth.

Grab Your Second Chance: Join WEEX AI Wars II Today

The second season of the WEEX AI Trading Hackathon will be even more ambitious and impactful, with expanded global participation, livestreamed competitions, and workshops in more cities worldwide. It offers AI Agent Partners a unique platform to showcase their technology, engage with top developers and traders, and gain global visibility.

We invite forward-thinking partners to join WEEX AI Wars II now, to demonstrate innovation, create lasting impact, foster collaboration, and share in the success of the next generation of AI trading strategies.

About WEEX

Founded in 2018, WEEX has developed into a global crypto exchange with over 6.2 million users across more than 150 countries. The platform emphasizes security, liquidity, and usability, providing over 1,200 spot trading pairs and offering up to 400x leverage in crypto futures trading. In addition to the traditional spot and derivatives markets, WEEX is expanding rapidly in the AI era — delivering real-time AI news, empowering users with AI trading tools, and exploring innovative trade-to-earn models that make intelligent trading more accessible to everyone. Its 1,000 BTC Protection Fund further strengthens asset safety and transparency, while features such as copy trading and advanced trading tools allow users to follow professional traders and experience a more efficient, intelligent trading journey.

Follow WEEX on social media

X: @WEEX_Official

Instagram: @WEEX Exchange

Tiktok: @weex_global

Youtube: @WEEX_Official

Discord: WEEX Community

Telegram: WeexGlobal Group

Nasdaq Enters Correction Territory | Rewire News Morning Brief

Tech Stocks are a Minefield

OpenAI loses to Thousnad-Question, unable to grow a checkout counter in the chatbox

What can achieve an AI shopping closed loop is platforms that already have a complete ecosystem, not AI companies that have to build everything from scratch.